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The WAVE Report on Digital Media
3D --- Media Creation --- Shared Space ---Published by 4th Wave, Inc.--- Issue #0525------------------6/24/05 |
The WAVE Report is Searchable on
http://www.3dlinks.com
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0525.2 Fuel Cell Transportation
World's First Purpose-Built Hydrogen Fuel Cell Motorbike Makes North American Debut
0525.3 Virtual Pets
Tamagotchi Connection Version 2 Ready for Release in the United States
0525.4 WiFi Advances
Intel Researchers Develop CMOS Radio Supporting All Flavors of the 802.11 Wi-Fi Standard
0525.5 Biometrics
Iridian Technologies Joins the ''Child Project'' as Technology Partner
0525.6 Wireless Technology
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0525.1 Story of the Issue
***Computex 2005
By John Latta
Taipei, Taiwan
May 31 – June 6, 2005
Last year the WAVE noticed that Computex had changed from previous years. That change is even more pronounced this year. Recall that Taiwan gained its market position originally as a low cost producer. That has been completely supplanted by China. What is Taiwan to do? It had to go up market and diversify. That is exactly what we see here. What Taiwan has now become is the manager and engineering side of the mainland China supply chain. Yet, China is moving to overtake Taiwan here. We wonder how long the Taiwanese advantage can last.
The Vendors
This is the best PC hardware show in the world. But it is more than this. For example, the single topic pavilions included:
Software
Mobile Phone Components
Japan
Security
IP Telecom
Mobile Internet
IC Application
HSCF
CarTronics
Home Entertainment
Home Networking
Linux
In some areas, such as security, the depth of product was light. But, just the existence of so many pavilions indicates the changes happening in the Taiwan supply side market. We noted other trends this year.
As the WAVE did a “walk around” of the computer stores, we saw fewer system builders. But, in the same spaces were many more notebook-only retail stores. It seems as if notebooks have become the PC of choice.
Mouse, keyboards and PC cases suppliers have been replaced by the following products either in-commodity or going-to-commodity status:
Flash memory based products such as USB Drives or flash memory modules
Web cameras
Disk storage systems, especially RAID
Digital still cameras
MP3 audio players
iPod accessories
LCD monitors or televisions
Networking, especially wireless
Any form of BluetoothCooling is a big issue. There are more fan companies than we have seen before and with cute display case-like designs, but we kept reminding ourselves that this just a FAN with cooling fins.
Rack mounted systems are where the cabinet innovation is. This includes storage arrays also. We have not seen any blade cabinets, however.
The Intel AMD rivalry is intense. AMD announced Athlon 64 x2 dual core processor products and the press event was packed. Intel was using the theme Advancing Digital Innovations yet its large display area was poorly attended compared to AMD’s. While Intel touted innovation, it seemed like AMD was delivering it.
Bluetooth is everywhere. This technology has done a superb job of disappearing into products.
Software is hardly a blip on the conference landscape, especially from Taiwanese companies. The Microsoft booth was again touting its role in the embedded market.
Much of the industrial design has become world class. A number of companies, mostly the larger suppliers, were showing off award winning products.
The WAVE sees this as a direct reflection of how Taiwan is adapting to the shift to China for both design and manufacturing. Yet, what is missing?
Taiwan does not have a strong systems environment but more component focus. As a result, it will be difficult to continue to rise up the solution supply chain.
The lack of software presence is a major factor limiting Taiwan. It is noted that the Indian companies do not even have a presence here. We would expect to see more of this if Taiwan was more system focused as they constructed relationships with the Indian software companies.
With a few exceptions Taiwan has not built brand name recognition. One only has to look at Korea to see how well they have done, from cars to consumer electronics.
Agilent – Will the Laser be as good as a Ball?
On the first day of Computex, Agilent announced its laser mouse chips. In booths were posters that said – LaserStream “A whole new experience in optical navigation.” Also on the poster was “tracks over any surface.” Yet, in booth discussions with mouse companies this was blown away. We only surmise that Agilent needs the sales from LaserStream in the competitive mouse chip business – a little hype is ok to promote new technology, so goes the logic.
The announcement read:
Agilent offers its LaserStream technology as separate components or in bundles that include the sensor, VCSEL (vertical-cavity surface emitting laser), round or rectangular lens, and a VCSEL assembly clip. The Agilent LaserStream product line offers three versions of laser navigation sensors and mouse bundles:
ADNS-6000 laser navigation sensor/ADNB-600X bundle for high-end corded mice. The ADNS-6000 features 800 cpi resolution, 20 ips maximum velocity and 6,400 fps frame rate.
ADNS-6030 laser navigation sensor/ADNB-603X bundle for high-end cordless mice. The ADNS-6030 features up to 800 cpi resolution, 20 ips maximum velocity, and enhanced self-adjusting frame rate, along with low power consumption for battery life of up to six months.
ADNS-6010 laser navigation sensor/ADNB-601X bundle optimized for the gaming environment and other specialized high-performance applications. The ADNS-6010 features 2,000 cpi resolution, 45 ips maximum velocity and 7,080 fps frame rate.
A key component of the Agilent LaserStream technology is the company's ADNV-6330 842 nm wavelength VCSEL. This VCSEL was engineered to provide a laser diode with a single longitudinal and a single transverse mode, which, in contrast to most oxide-based single-mode VCSELs, remains in single-mode operation over a wide range of output power. The low operating current of the ADNV-6330 allows lower power consumption in optical mice.
Agilent's laser mouse sensor has been designed and tested on a variety of fault conditions, which enable mouse manufacturers to meet IEC-60825-1 eye safety class 1 requirements as defined by the International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC).
Pricing and Availability
The ADNS-6030-based bundle (ADNB-603X) is priced at less than $5 in high volumes, the ADNB-600X bundle at less than $6, and the ADNB-601X bundle at less than $7. The sensors, bundles and individual ADNV-6330 VCSELs, optics and clips are available now through Agilent's direct sales channel and worldwide distribution partners.
In the same announcement it was said:
Laser illumination is superior to LED-based illumination in that it reveals trackable surface structures the LED light source cannot uncover. Laser mice using this technology can easily track on painted metal, polished wood-grain, glossy photo paper, translucent plastic, frosted glass and many other previously difficult surfaces.
Yet, Agilent was not at Computex 2005 as it was the previous year. What we did notice were the LaserStream posters in a number of booths, mostly the major mouse suppliers. We were dismayed to see the claim that the technology “tracks over any surface” when even the press announcement would not back the claim.
The real issue is pricing. Does the market want a technology which is a tracking improvement over LEDs but not a show stopper. At $5 to $7 it seems expensive. Note we found complete optical mouse products in this price range in China.
PC Disruption based on Price
The market is littered with companies seeking to make a better CPU chip. Underdogs can win, however. AMD is on a roll after being an underdog for years. The announcement of the Athlon 64 x2 by AMD is an example of how a company is keeping Intel on the run. But these X86 products are about doing better in the same market – the core notebook, desktop and server markets. One of the issues is that AMD was able to out innovate Intel where its business model, or pride, would not let it. Specifically, innovating in 64 bit X86 space was counter to the massive investment it was making in Itanium. Intel, only when the market had spoken, switched positions and announced defeat when it embraced X86 64 bit computing. Of course, Intel never announces defeat. This is at the core of disruptive technology. It bites the hardest those which have the most to lose. They are also the ones most unwilling to change.
The WAVE came away wondering – is VIA doing the same thing to Intel and the market from the bottom end? As we commented earlier, power is a big issue – what might be called innovation in FANS. Via, via its Centaur Group, has long had a focus on driving power consumption down. In fact, CJ Holthaus, stated that power consumption has been the reason that the X86 architecture has been kept out of handhelds. Using impressive technology to support power states and rapid switching of CPU clock and voltage VIA showed how it can manage power and still do MPEG movie playback. But this technology goes deeper than just power. The C7-M is also about die size 0 30 mmXmm. Thus, there is the opportunity to drive the cost from PCs and portable devices.
Eric Chang, Strategic Business Director, VIA, made reference to accomplishing PC penetration in countries such as India and China in his presentation. The WAVE spoke with Eric after his talk. He conceded that to drive these markets, the PC must be priced at $200. The notebook market will be more of a challenge due to the cost of the case, battery and display panel. In order to drive costs out, it is unlikely that we will see the core logic chips combine with the CPU. The reason being that the CPU is always at the leading edge of the process technology and the logic chips are not. Thus, in terms of cost, it will be cheaper to see independent CPU and logic chips. The bottom line is the VIA sees the $200 PC as a reasonable goal.
What is important from Computex is that we have seen the first serious prospect of very low cost computing devices that have the power of today’s PC and compatibility. This is very close to the technology which Clayton Christensen studied so extensively in Innovator’s Dilemma – the disk drive by platter diameter. As with most disruptive innovation this will not come from today’s dominant players, be they hardware or software. The other aspect is that with radically lower PC prices, and compatibility with existing software development environments, it is hard to assess what the use of these computing devices will be. Thus, the C7-M announcement today was less about the details of the announcement but more about the disruptive potential of the technology. It tells us we are only at the beginning. As AMD struggled to make X86 clones some 5 years ago it is hard to believe that they would have carved out portions of the market based on innovation. VIA is attempting to do the same. If is succeeded the impacts will go well beyond the PC market we see today.
Innovations from the Show Floor
Good Way Technology
Industrial Design was excellent. USB Phone products which are Skype compatible. Basic USB phone at $12.5 FOB. A voice conferencing unit for $60 FOB.
MobiNote
A 7” MP4 player. Basically a flat panel display with a 20GB hard drive. Excellent ID.
Air2U
Extensive line of Bluetooth products including an RS232 cable replacement and Bluetooth stereo headsets. One of the products is a Bluetooth mini audio transmitter for iPod. There is also a Bluetooth Optical Pen which writes, draws and points for input to a PC, PDA or mobile phone.
Asiamajor
Using the trademark V-Gear they have TalkCam products which are web cams. Outstanding ID. One of the products is called Tracer which does face tracking.
Ennyah
Selling PSP accessories one of which is a docking station and another a “Hi Fi System” which are speakers on top of the PSP.
PC Winner
An extensive line of USB biometric products which included: standalone biometric reader, biometric flash drive, bio-finger mouse, and portable hard drive.
Sysgration
SkyGenie which converts a regular phone into a Skype phone. This allows for the use of the phone on both the wired network and over Skype via the PC. The price is $25 FOB.
Artec – Ultima Electronics Corp
7: portable television and DVD player priced at $299 FOB. Excellent design.
G-Tek and the WiFi Phone
Last year we spoke at length with Ton Verloop on their voice bridge products. We linked up with Ton again and considerable progress has been made. The product is basically a GSM phone with VoIP that works over a WiFi network. In the booth, Ton made a phone call to his office in Malaysia by just dialing an extension. This was done via a WiFi router they have placed in the booth.
One of the problems with such a product is – who will buy it? Ton was quick to respond – it is the enterprise. What they have found is that employees are even calling over the cell phones to other employees also on cell phones while in their offices. When a company has WiFi within its infrastructure the G-Tek phones save money. The phone is just an extension of the corporate phone network. As a result it saves connect time. The phone can be used over any WiFi network. Ton did mention that the WiFi routers should have a SIP server in them and they are working with partners to see that this is available.
G-Tek is involved in a major project in Europe where the whole country will be wired with WiFi. The G-Tek phone will be used in this program.
They plan on extending the product into new application areas with the addition of e-mail capabilities but Ton stressed that the phone has its strength as a first class audio device.
WAVE Comments
At Computex there was excitement in the air. Some of the factors that contributed to this include:
Growth has returned to segments of the industry and the Taiwanese companies hop on opportunities such as these.
The Apple iPod is a huge opportunity. A winner spawns lots of product ideas and we saw many at Computex. It was not just iPod but IP telephony and others.
The pavilions by industry segment had grown significantly from last year and showed much greater diversity in technology and products. Examples were Linux, Security and Home Networking.
Competition is strong, especially in the CPU and GPU sectors. This makes it possible for Taiwanese companies to create many products to exploit the value of each. This is especially acute in the logic chip set business where Taiwan the a major player.
Continuing price declines. In a commoditized market lower prices create opportunities to differentiate and gain market share. The VIA C7-M processor is an excellent example of this.
Computex is, of itself, a Test Market. Given that few Taiwanese companies have direct markets, Computex is one example of a test market for them. CeBIT is another. That is, they create products which they hope to sell to OEMs or ODMs. These are either shown to existing customers or openly at Computex. It is always fun to look for new products at Computes. This year was even better given the transition spoken of earlier.
What do we bring away? Listen to Computex – it is the future and the future is now.
0525.2 Fuel Cell Transportation
***World's First Purpose-Built Hydrogen Fuel Cell Motorbike Makes North American Debut
Los Angeles
June 2005
The world’s first purpose-built fuel cell motorbike, ENV (pronounced ENVY), was unveiled June 14, 2005 at the Pacific Design Center in Los Angeles. Powered by hydrogen, ENV is a virtually silent and completely nonpolluting motorbike that was designed to showcase the practical application of hydrogen fuel cells in the real world.
The bike can reach a top speed of 50 mph in 12.1 seconds and used for up to four hours before needing “refueling.” Unlike vehicles powered by traditional gasoline-powered engines that have noisy exhaust systems, the only sounds emitted from the ENV are the cooling fan and the tires meeting the road.
The ENV fuel cell system, called CORE, is detachable from the bike and in the future could be used to power ATVs, personal watercraft or even a small home.
Intelligent Energy expects ENV to be available to consumers in 2006. The company expects ENV to retail for around $6,000 at low volume production; at higher production volumes, the price would come down even further.
***Tamagotchi Connection Version 2 Ready for Release in the United States
CYPRESS, Calif.
June 16
After sell-out performances at retail over the past year, Bandai America Incorporated announced that it is ready to release Tamagotchi Connection Version 2 (V.2). Version 2, which offers more bonus features and increased interactivity, will begin hitting store shelves in mid-June -- with fun and exciting new designs and colors coming in July.
The egg-shaped toy simulates the life cycle of a real pet, letting kids experience the fun and responsibility of feeding, tending to and caring for their virtual pet. With Tamagotchi Connection Version 2, kids can earn "Gotchi" points to shop for special items and food -- and by unlocking new secret codes, they can shop 'til they drop for even more fun treats. And, with even more new designs, colors and characters to choose from, Tamagotchi fans will be able to find the Tamagotchi that matches their personal style. New design collections include Tropical Fun, Camouflage, Makeup Fun, Sweet Candy and Spring Time.
The re-launch of Tamagotchi Connection in August 2004 spurred a re-birth of the virtual pet craze. After just five months on shelf, Tamagotchi Connection sold nearly one million units -- emerging as the hottest toy of the holiday season. Swift sales of Tamagotchi Connection have created high demand for the product and increased consumer anticipation for the release of V.2.
New to Version 2
The new "Gotchi" points system allows owners to earn points to shop for special treats, items and food. Gotchi points are earned by playing games or getting special item awards points. Owners can also choose to feed their Tamagotchi a "Meal," "Snack" or the newly introduced "Treat" feature. A "Treat" can be purchased with Gotchi points and can raise or lower a Tamagotchi's Happy meter. In addition, owners can now choose a treat to give to their Tamagotchi friends as a gift once they connect via the infrared technology.
Also new to Tamagotchi Connection Version 2 are secret codes -- unlocked by pushing a special sequence of buttons -- letting the player open more shopping areas to purchase a unique item not available in normal play. After collecting five secret codes, the owner can collect a special sixth unique item. All five secret codes will be revealed to fans through special events, advertising and in packaging. Tamagotchi Connection Version 2 also includes four new games.
For fans wanting to purchase two Tamagotchis at once, Bandai America will also offer the new "True Friends" collection this July -- a pack of two Tamagotchi Connection virtual pets together with matching designs. The True Friends collections allow best friends to show off their matching virtual pets, to have fun sharing and communicating, to play games with each other and even to buy special treats for their Tamagotchi friends.
Tamagotchi Connection Version 2 still features interactive technology that allows owners to "connect," play games, give gifts and become friends with other Tamagotchi owners while storing a "friend list" of up to 50 friends. Once an adult, the Tamagotchi can connect with a compatible friend and create a second-generation Tamagotchi that the owner can care for and nurture into an adult to create more generations to come.
Suggested retail price is $14.99 for Tamagotchi Connection Version 2. The True Friends collection suggested retail price is $26.99.
***Intel Researchers Develop CMOS Radio Supporting All Flavors of the 802.11 Wi-Fi Standard
Symposium on VLSI Technology
KYOTO, Japan
June 17, 2005
Intel Corporation announced it has developed a prototype of an all-CMOS direct conversion dual-band radio transceiver capable of supporting every current Wi-Fi standard (802.11a, b and g), as well as the projected requirements of 802.11n. The system-in-a-package technology is a significant step toward enabling integrated CMOS radios that could provide improved wireless capabilities in future Intel platforms at a low cost.
The announcement, presented as part of a technical paper delivered at the Symposium on VLSI Technology in Kyoto, Japan, outlines the building blocks Intel created to implement the fully flexible, multimode radio in a standard CMOS process. A future extension to the Wi-Fi standard, 802.11n will more than double the wireless transfer speed compared to today's implementation.
Today each device uses a customized radio to connect to a particular network -- for example, a wireless local area network or WLAN based on Wi-Fi technology. A different device might use a radio developed for a wireless wide area network or WWAN. In the next few years, Intel expects mobile devices will contain several different radios so they can utilize many different wireless communication networks. Intel's research points toward a time in the future when one device will use "smart" antenna systems and a reconfigurable CMOS radio on a single device making the radio more power efficient, smaller and lower cost. The goal being pursued is the ability to connect to any network, anytime, anywhere on any device.
One of the key achievements of this research is keeping the underlying manufacturing technology tied to CMOS -- the technology Intel uses to make all its microprocessors and other computer chips. By doing so, it keeps manufacturing costs low and the potential to produce this capability in high volume. The device in the research paper features a 1.4-volt design (very low power consumption compared to what is available in the marketplace today).
Paper Details
The device in the research paper integrates a 5GHz CMOS power amplifier that meets all the spectral purity and non-interference requirements from the U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC), while frequency planning techniques minimize interference caused by the on-die amplifier. All these improvements result in better wireless performance. To achieve these results, Intel researchers developed a new calibration scheme for the transceiver to achieve high volume manufacturability. Separating receiver and transmitter effects has proven to be difficult in the past, but Intel's scheme is easy to implement and correctly separates the effects, improving yields and lowering the cost of these radios.
About the Symposium on VLSI Technology
The Symposium on VLSI Technology began in 1981 with the hope of offering the world's top technologists an opportunity to engage in an open exchange of ideas on what was quickly becoming a revolution in the world's industrial capability. Since then, the Symposium has been held annually and has grown to be one of the most prestigious technical conferences in the VLSI business. The Symposium on VLSI Technology has alternated each year between sites in US and Japan. In 1987, the first Symposium on VLSI Circuits was held. Its sponsors continue to be the IEEE Electron Devices Society and Solid-State Circuits Society, and the Japan Society of Applied Physics in cooperation with the Institute of Electronics, Information and Communication Engineers.
802.11 Standards for Wireless Technology
802.11 refers to a family of specifications developed by the IEEE for wireless LAN technology. 802.11 specifies an over-the-air interface between a wireless client and a base station or between two wireless clients.
802.11a -- an extension to the 802.11 standard that applies to wireless LANs and provides up to 54 Mbps in the 5GHz band.
802.11b -- an extension to the 802.11 standard that applies to wireless LANs and provides 11 Mbps transmission (with a fallback to 5.5, 2 and 1 Mbps) in the 2.4 GHz band.
802.11g -- an extension to the 802.11 standard that applies to wireless LANs and provides 54 Mbps in the 2.4 GHz band.
802.11n -- an extension to the 802.11 standard that in the future will increase the speed to more than 100 Mbit/s. As projected, 802.11n will also offer a better operating distance than current networks.
http://www.intel.com/pressroom
***Iridian Technologies Joins the ''Child Project'' as Technology Partner; Iris Recognition System is Basis for National Missing Person Identification Program
MOORESTOWN, N.J.
June 17, 2005
Iridian Technologies has disclosed that its ProofPositive technology is the basis of The Children's Identification and Location Database (CHILD) Project that is now being introduced in communities across the country.
The CHILD Project is a secure nationwide network and registry that enables law enforcement and social service agencies to locate and positively identify missing children and adults with iris biometric recognition. Through this network, the CHILD Project will compare the unique features contained in the iris of an abductee or runaway against a national database of children and adults enrolled under the program, patterned after voluntary community-based fingerprint and photo ID card programs.
The announcement was timed to the launch of the CHILD Project by Kenneth R. Ramsey, Sheriff of Kane County in suburban Chicago.
The CHILD Project database is hosted by The Nation's Missing Children Organization (NMCO) and National Center for Missing Adults, a nonprofit agency providing nationwide assistance to law enforcement and families of missing persons. The agency, headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, was founded in 1994 and provides a variety of services including advocacy, search assistance, national distribution of information related to missing persons and various programs addressing child safety.
According to Iridian, their non-intrusive iris recognition technology has been successfully deployed by the United Nations Refugee Agency to identify more than one million returning Afghan refugees in the three-year-old Afghan repatriation program.
The CHILD Project relies on Panasonic Security Systems' ProofPositive-certified BM-ET330 Iris Readers, which feature advanced user guidance technology along with the latest developments in iris recognition technology to deliver fast and accurate system enrollment and authentication.
Iris Recognition Technology
Iris recognition technology identifies people by the unique patterns of the iris - the colored ring around the pupil of the eye. Iris recognition is non-invasive, easy to use, and the most accurate biometric for secure identification.
Iridian's patented PrivateID technology includes camera drivers for IrisCode template creation using standard video technology without bright lights or lasers. KnoWho Authentication Server is Iridian's highly scalable server that provides interoperability for all Private ID-enabled cameras and applications. This one-to-all security solution ensures individual authentication against millions of records, and is ideal for public-use applications such as border control or simplified passenger travel.
***Impending Wireless Revolution Highlights Discussion at Computerworld's Third Annual Mobile & Wireless World Conference
Mobile and Wireless World 2005
SCOTTSDALE, Ariz.
June 16, 2005
Hundreds of end-user IT executives and industry leaders gather to hear about and discuss future of mobility and wireless technology
Wireless technology is on the cusp of having a more significant impact than the Internet. That was the prevailing opinion of speakers and attendees at the third annual Mobile & Wireless World (MWW) conference, owned and produced by IDG's Computerworld, held June 13-15, 2005 in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Nearly 300 CIOs, vice presidents of IT and directors of technology, representing large users of mobile technologies including American Express, British Petroleum, DHL, and Delta Air Lines, gathered at MWW to hear top technology executives and industry leaders discuss the latest challenges and solutions for enterprise mobility. According to registrant-supplied demographic data, $122 million is the average company IT budget of IT-user registrant organizations, with an average company size of 7,649 employees and average company revenue of $3 billion.
At the conference, the notion of a wireless revolution emerged in British Petroleum CTO Phiroz Darukhanavala's opening presentation and continued to resonate in presentations from Intel vice president Mooly Eden and Austin Energy CIO Andres Carvallo.
"Wireless is a new paradigm, and in order to be successful, business and technology professionals need to really think of a new way of doing things," said Carvallo. "The challenge to IT professionals is not how to advance, but how to shift your thinking to being able and willing to wipe your past legacy completely off the board. We are just beginning to understand the true capabilities of wireless technology, and it is the companies who are willing to start from the ground up that are going to succeed and leave the rest behind. The discussion of issues like this is what makes Computerworld's Mobile & Wireless World an outstanding forum."
From the healthcare sector, attendees heard from John Wade, vice president and CIO of Saint Luke's Health System in Kansas City, Missouri, and from Mary Pat Corrigan, director of information services at Baptist Health in Jacksonville, Florida. Corrigan spoke about the challenges and successes her organization faced in becoming the nation's first non-teaching, full-service, independent medical staff, community hospital in the country to be completely wireless and the benefits of being able to participate in a forum like MWW.
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